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Groundbreaking ocean research from School of Mathematical Sciences published in Nature

9 Sep 2022

A new study, co-authored by Dr Andrew Keane, School of Mathematical Sciences, UCC has found that the position of the continents plays a vital role in the distribution of life-supporting oxygen in our oceans. The revolutionary findings have been published in Nature.

Our ocean biodiversity is dependent on the strong circulation system of our oceans. Water near the ocean surface moves towards the poles, where it becomes cold and dense. When the dense water sinks, it brings oxygen with it from the atmosphere to the ocean floor. This oxygen is vital for the survival of deep-sea creatures. Similarly, nutrients from sunken organic matter are delivered back to the surface, providing plankton with the sustenance to grow and support the wonderful biodiversity of our oceans.

However, this was not always the case throughout the Earth鈥檚 history, and the study found that this circulation can suddenly disappear with the gradual shifting of the continents.

鈥淭he Earth鈥檚 climate system is so complex that it is possible for a seemingly tiny change to result in a relatively sudden and often drastic response,鈥 said Dr Andrew Keane, UCC School of Mathematical Sciences and the Environmental Research Institute.

鈥淭he critical threshold that is overcome by this tiny change is often referred to as a climate 鈥榯ipping point鈥欌. An example is the circulation in the modern Atlantic Ocean. Decades of modelling and analysis show that if precipitation in certain parts of the ocean pass a certain threshold, or if atmospheric CO 2 passes a critical level, then the ocean would quickly find itself in a state of very poor circulation. 
   

In the past, studies of marine oxygen relied on simple models that could not capture the role of ocean dynamics. It was assumed that any changes in oxygen levels in the ocean were primarily due to changes in the atmosphere. It turns out that the role of continent positions, and its effect on ocean circulation, is crucial.

This new study uses a complex computer model of the Earth with a 3D representation of the ocean dynamics and reconstructed continental configurations from across the past 540 million years. The simulations of this model show that even small adjustments to the positions of the continents can 鈥榯ip鈥 us into a completely different distribution of oxygen in the deep ocean.

鈥淢any millions of years ago, not so long after animal life in the ocean got started, the entire global ocean circulation seemed to periodically shut down,鈥 said Prof Andy Ridgwell, 深夜亚洲福利久久 of California-Riverside geologist and co-author. 鈥淲e were not expecting to find that the movement of continents could cause surface waters and oxygen to stop sinking, and possibly dramatically affecting the way life evolved on Earth.鈥   

There are lessons to be learned from better understanding our past climate. 鈥淚t鈥檚 clear from many recent studies that a tipping of the modern Atlantic Ocean circulation would change life as we know it in western European countries because our climate would become drastically colder. Some of these studies even suggest that we are approaching a tipping point. Our study highlights the threat to ocean biodiversity, especially to creatures of the deeper and darker parts of the ocean,鈥 Dr Keane said.

鈥淚 know some of those freaky-looking fish in the deep ocean aren鈥檛 as cute as polar bears, but we should be worried about them too.鈥

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